Monday, 3 March 2014

Hydropower project: Afghanistan raises objections over Dasu project

Urges WB, donor organisations not to finance the project without its written consent. PHOTO: FILE
ISLAMABAD: Afghanistan on Sunday raised objections to the nearly $7.5 billion Dasu Hydropower Project in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) province and urged the World Bank and other international organisations to stop its funding.
Pakistan has already approached the World Bank to start the process for the approval of a $700 million loan for the 4,320-megawatt (MW) project, according to sources in the Ministry of Finance. The project’s construction on the Indus River was expected to start this year.
“The National Security Council of Afghanistan has instructed the country’s Foreign and Finance ministries to convey concerns to the World Bank about Pakistan’s decision to build the power project on Kabul-Indus River in Kohistan district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa,” the Afghan Foreign Ministry said in a statement on Sunday.
The statement said Pakistan neither informed Afghanistan about the project through diplomatic channels nor there was any agreement between the two countries.
“Afghanistan’s relevant departments do not have any required information and details about the dam and there is a need for a detailed and necessary assessment of the project,” said the Afghan Foreign Ministry.
The Afghan Foreign Ministry called upon all international institutions including the World Bank not to finance and implement the project without the written consent of the Afghan government.
Dasu hydropower project is a run-of-river scheme located 7 km upstream of Dasu village on Indus River, 74 km downstream of Diamer Basha Dam at some 350 km from Islamabad.
Officials say the feasibility study and detailed engineering designs of the project have already been completed. Last month, the government had cleared the Dasu Hydropower Project and the Central Development Working Party (CDWP) constituted a committee to rationalise its cost.

Full-scale North Waziristan operation not in Pakistan’s favour: Imran

PTI chief Imran Khan. PHOTO: NNI
ISLAMABAD: A full-scale military operation in North Waziristan was not in Pakistan’s favour, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) chairperson Imran Khan said on Monday.
Imran was speaking to the media in the capital city.
The PTI chief emphasised that the country had been saved from destruction after the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the government decided to halt armed attacks and resume the peace talks.
“God has given us another chance to solve the issue peacefully and move in the right direction,” Imran remarked.
He reiterated his stance regarding US involvement in terrorism in Pakistan and said America doesn’t want peace in Pakistan until it withdrew forces from Afghanistan.
“The US wants to keep Pakistan Army engaged in skirmishes with the Taliban while it exited Afghanistan,” Imran said.
The PTI chairperson called on the government and the TTP to work together and isolate those elements that are against peace

Sky is the limit: New aviation policy set to revamp PIA

According to PIA, 84% of the airline’s routes are short to medium distance while only 16% are long haul routes (UK, USA, Canada and Europe). PHOTO: FILE.
ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif is set to announce an ambitious new aviation policy next month – one that aims to revitalise the ailing national carrier, Pakistan International Airlines (PIA), while also facilitating travellers and making air safety a primary focus. A conference of international aviation experts will weigh in on the strategy in Islamabad at the end of this month.
The prime minister’s adviser on aviation, Shujaat Azim, met with Nawaz Sharif on Thursday and shared the details of the new plan with the media. “The government seeks to revert PIA into a profit-making institution within two years and enable the carrier to break even in a year’s time,” he said.
Additionally, PIA’s fleet of operational aircraft will swell from 25 to 46. The new aircraft, mostly narrow body fuel-efficient planes, will be inducted into the fleet on a dry lease. “We are not purchasing any new aircraft,” Azim said. “The aircraft will be 2010 models or newer. These aircraft consume 45% less fuel,” he added.
Currently, PIA has 34 aircraft. Of which, nine are not operational, and the average age of the fleet is 18 years – the average age of international airlines’ fleets is usually less than 10 years and Azim said the government aimed to meet this standard for PIA.
PIA’s current status
PIA has four 26-year-old Boeing 747s. Of which, only two are operational. It also owns 12 Airbus A-310s, of which six are in service, purchased 20 years ago. PIA also owns three 26-year-old Boeing 737s. Of which, two are serviceable. Among its latest fleet are nine Boeing 777s and six ATR 42 aircraft, aged 8 and 7 years, respectively.
The fleet of the future
Four new Boeing 777s will join the nine Boeings that PIA already owns. The new plan envisages a refurbishment of the current 777s fleet to the highest level for long haul flights. Additionally, 17 new Airbus A320 20s or Boeing 737 900ERs and four ATR 72-500s with a capacity of 66 passengers will join the six existing ATR 42s (which have a capacity of 44 passengers). The fleet will be revamped by July at the earliest.
Going the wrong way
PIA currently travels to 23 domestic and 30 international destinations. According to Azim, one of the main reasons for PIA’s significant financial losses [Rs87 million per day as parliament was informed) is the use of wrong aircraft for these routes. “Our present fleet is geared for medium and long haul routes,” he explained. “However, 62% of our passengers travel on short haul routes – we have thus been using fuel guzzlers aged 20 to 26 years for short routes.”
According to PIA, 84% of the airline’s routes are short to medium distance while only 16% are long haul routes (UK, USA, Canada and Europe). Saudi Arabia and the Far East, considered medium distance routes, account for 22% of routes. The bulk of traffic heads to the Gulf, regional countries and domestic routes, with a total of 62%.
With no short haul aircraft available to cover these routes, PIA is using 777s and A310 aircraft for these routes. Azim says fuel costs for the older A310 models total $5500 per hour while the newer 737 900ER models consume less than $2500 worth of fuel per hour. Under the new plan, the national carrier will utilise 777 aircraft for long haul routes, A320-232 for medium haul routes and A320, 737NG and ATR aircraft for travel to the Gulf and domestic and regional routes.
According to Azim, Rs72 billion per year will be generated in revenue following the induction of the new aircraft, with 85% of seat utilisation and 12.5 hours of aircraft utilisation per day.
The workforce
PIA currently employs 19,418 men and women, with a ratio of 776 employees per aircraft – one of the highest ratios in the world; the average ratio worldwide is 150 per aircraft. Thus, Azim said the government has decided to conduct a performance audit of the carrier through international firms, in order to circumvent any political pressure. He added that perks such as free air travel for present and past board members, their families and the PIA chairman, have been curbed.
A revamp of facilities
The PM has approved the expansion of Allama Iqbal International Airport in Lahore, Azim said. After the PC-1 is made, it will be placed before the board for approval. Lahore airport will have an ILS Cat 3C system, enabling the aircraft to land at zero visibility. This system, Azim said, will be in place within the next 120 days, well ahead of winter this year, when many flights are diverted from the city due to weather conditions such as fog. This winter, 102 flights were not able to arrive at Lahore airport, thus causing billion of rupees of losses.
Most modernised airports across the world have CAT III Instrument Landing System; while Islamabad’s Benazir International Airport possesses an old version – the CAT 2 system – no other airport in the country has this system so far.
CAT III and CAT II approaches require the use of an auto-land system for the aircraft, which essentially means that the autopilot lands the airplane, while the pilots monitor the aircraft and autopilot closely for any detected anomalies during the approach. CAT III landings on the most modern aircraft do not require the pilots to see the runway prior to landing. Most commercial airliners and crews are certified for CAT III.
Additionally, the government plans to cut down on kiosks in the main lounges in order to create greater space in the lounges, increase the number of counters at departure lounges in Lahore and Islamabad’s airports and introduce passenger-friendly immigration systems. While a new airport will be completed by 2016, Benazir International Airport will be upgraded, with a new taxiway ready in a couple of months.

Strengthening industry: Non-life insurance firms to increase paid-up capital

Out of the total premium income of Rs57 billion for 2012 – the last year for which complete data is available – the market share held by the top three players in the non-life segment was 60%. CREATIVE COMMONS
KARACHI: The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) has said it will be ‘appropriate’ to increase the minimum paid-up capital requirement for non-life insurance companies to Rs500 million by 2017.
In a recent report prepared by the SECP’s insurance industry reform committee, the top regulator said the increase in the capital requirement will be the most important step in strengthening the insurance industry.
The SECP had directed non-life insurance companies in 2007 to gradually increase their paid-up capital from Rs80 million to Rs300 million by the end of 2011. However, the capital of 40 companies operating in the country at the end of 2012 varied from company to company.
For example, there were seven insurers at the time with paid-up capital exceeding Rs500 million, four insurers with capital between Rs400 and Rs500 million, 13 insurers with capital between Rs300 and Rs400 million and four insurers with capital of less than Rs300 million.
When the capital requirement was enhanced at the end of 2007, Rs300 million was equivalent to approximately $5 million. Given the depreciation of the rupee against the dollar, however, the same amount was equivalent to less than $3 million by the end of 2012, the report noted.
Paid-up capital forms the basis of financial strength for any insurance company by allowing better risk management and market confidence.
Out of the total premium income of Rs57 billion for 2012 – the last year for which complete data is available – the market share held by the top three players in the non-life segment was 60%. These companies were EFU General Insurance, Adamjee Insurance and Jubilee General Insurance.
If the next two largest players are also included, their collective share in total premium income increases eight percentage points to 68%.
“One of the primary reasons for the current state of affairs of the (non-life) industry was that a majority of insurers had too little resources to invest in the right infrastructure, technology, risk management processes and human resource development,” the report noted.
Emphasising that 65% of companies in the non-life insurance industry hold a market share of only 18%, the report said these insurers generally rely on the smaller market share and do not have financial resources to develop better quality branch network and distribution channels.
Indeed, data from 11 Asian countries shows that the prescribed minimum paid-up capital requirement for non-life insurers in Pakistan exceeds the limit set by Bangladesh and Iran only.
Dollar-denominated policies
The SECP has also recommended that the restriction imposed by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on the issuance of dollar-denominated insurance policies should be reviewed.
“The non-life insurers face immense administrative issues while providing insurance cover to the clients involving foreign direct investment, which requires insurance policies be issued in dollar denomination,” it said, noting that the issue should be taken up jointly by the SECP and SBP.

Man-made mistakes: How free trade is devastating Pakistan’s polyester industry

Policymakers have failed to pay attention to country’s textile sector. CREATIVE COMMONS
KARACHI: 
At the end of Korangi Industrial Road, there is a small cloth market in the impoverished Landhi area. Retailers here deal exclusively in women fabrics. Everything from lawn to chiffon and georgette is available round the year.
“To be honest, business has never been this good,” said Abdul Rehman, a young trader. “Inflation and economic slowdown hasn’t affected us. A few years back, women shopped during Eid and marriage seasons. But, now they want something new to wear every other week.”
Reshmi, crinkle and wash-and-wear cloth remain the particular favourite in the low income localities, he said. “There is demand for cloth made of polyester fibre.”
Bundles of cloth – thousands of tons of them – make their way into Pakistani markets from India and China every week. In many cases, the Afghan Transit Treaty is used to meet the local demand.
“Containers go to Afghanistan first. The cargo is unloaded and shipped back to Peshawar via Torkham border. All the textile products come to Peshawar’s Karkhana Bazaar. We all get supplies from there,” said another trader.
This uninhabited import in textiles is not limited to cloth. Everything from readymade children’s garments to synthetic fibre gets dumped in local markets. This should have alarmed officials at the commerce ministry especially as the textile industry is Islamabad’s industrial backbone.
But successive governments have found excuses to avoid the complex issue. Some have hidden behind the free-market argument, while others say local producers have failed to meet demand at the right price.
Most of the imported cloth is made up of man-made thread — polyester stable fibre (PSF) and polyester filament yarn (PFY). What happened to Pakistani synthetic industry is a sad story.
Our forgotten titan
Few companies have come to match the prestige of Dewan Salam Fibre – the best rated Pakistani company till the late 1990s. It was the largest PSF producer then. No one had any doubt about its growth prospects.
When Dewan Salman bought Dhan Fibres in 2000 for Rs4.2 billion, in what was the biggest such acquisition, the entire financial industry backed the deal. There was just one problem — the government had started slashing import duty on PSF.
Industry people argue that there were other reasons behind Dewan’s fall but none deny that competition created by cheaper imported fibre added to the woes of the debt-laden giant, which shutdown production a couple of years back.
PSF makers had initially thrived on high-tariff protection from imports, which was withdrawn after 2000. From 30%, the import tariff has been gradually reduced to 6% now.
But this happened without policymakers paying attention to the structure of Pakistan’s textile industry – something the country is paying for now.
Fighting it alone
Ibrahim Fibres, run by one of the most prolific business families, is now the largest PSF maker with a capacity of over 390,000 per annum.
“We are skewed towards cotton,” says Naeem Mukhtar, Ibrahim Fibres CEO. “Textile products we make use more cotton than synthetic fibre. That is completely opposite to what is happening internationally.”
Years of poor policies made downstream textile makers complacent. “Till the turn of the millennium, cheap cotton was easily available on easy credit terms. No one was trying to improve,” he said.
That improvement would have come by striving to make more value-added products like shirts and pants rather than exporting raw cotton and yarn.
In fiscal 2012-13, out of Pakistan’s total textile exports of $12.8 billion, around $4.9 billion comprised of raw cotton, yarn and cloth. The share of readymade garments was only Rs1.4 billion.
In the same period, Ibrahim Fibres produced 214,966 tons of PSF while the country spent $391 million to import 190,384 tons of synthetic fibre. Another $540 million were spent on importing 200,395 tons of synthetic and artificial silk yarn.
“This free market is devastating us,” says Mukhtar. “Take anything from a wall clock, keyboard, LCD TV to a computer monitor and none of it is being made here. That’s only because we never thought about protecting our own industry.”
Competing with Chinese or Indian polyester producers remains difficult. Besides the scale, their governments give tax breaks, subsidy on interest, tariff protection, land on concessional rates and other favours.
Pakistan’s unique problems add to production cost. For instance, PSF from Ibrahim mostly goes to looms in unorganised sector. Whenever there is a power breakdown, these small consumers with no alternate power supply suspend purchases.
“Despite the market size, India protects its polyester industry with 25% duty,” said Naeem. “And we are allowing cheaper products to be dumped in our market.”
Unbridled competition has already bankrupted most makers of filament yarn, which is used in fabrics like chiffon. A flurry of articles in recent weeks that propagate free trade with India has added to the anxiety of industry.
The EU’s GSP Plus scheme granted to Pakistan till 2017 offers the biggest opportunity for products made from man-made fibre, according to EU-funded TRTA Program’s report.
Buried in that same report is a paragraph that says Pakistan was the first South Asian country to stop bulk of subsidies to exporters who have continuously been shouting that their Indian and Bangladeshi counterparts are subsidised.
“India’s continuing use of subsidies for its textile exporters has been cited in various impact assessment reports on proposed India-EU Free Trade Agreement. But Pakistan is not known to have made any complaints in this regard either to the EU or at the WTO,” it said.
No government official was available to explain why

New attraction in town: In midst of violence, people show appetite for entertainment

Based on average turnover per show, the programme has so far grossed over Rs80 million (on the conservative side) and might continue for another month before moving to other cities. PHOTO: FILE
KARACHI: 
Violence, targeted killings, strikes and protests are some of the words that seem to have replaced Karachi’s long-held description: the city of lights.
But parallel to this non-stop violence and feeling of insecurity, there exists a huge demand for entertainment businesses. In other words, the country’s largest metropolitan city continues to offer business opportunities for those willing to take risks and bet money on this consumer base of 20 million people.
Success of the Dolphin Show – a recent addition to the city’s recreational spots – clearly reflects people’s growing appetite for every entertainment opportunity that offers a temporary escape from an otherwise tense city.
The programme’s chief engineer and one of the performers – both Russians – are not only performing publicly but also exploring the city during breaks. They have also visited places commonly referred to as no-go areas, according to an official.
Exploring Karachi alone may not be a good enough reason to visit the city. They are here for business of course.
The fun-filled show – that features colourful performances by a sea lion, a whale and a dolphin – has a capacity to host up to 3,000 people. Over one-and-a-half-month old, it continues to attract decent traffic, roughly 75% of the seating capacity as witnessed by the writer, even on working days. The weekend traffic is certainly higher.
Exact figures for the business could not be collected. However, based on average turnover per show, the programme has so far grossed over Rs80 million (on the conservative side) and might continue for another month before moving to other cities.
“We get Rs600,000 to Rs800,000 in ticket sales for a single show,” the programme’s General Manager Finance and Marketing Ali Raza told The Express Tribune.
The turnover range includes both the weekday and weekend traffic. However, if the average amount per show is taken into account, this translates into Rs2.1 million a day (based on three shows a day) and at least Rs84 million since January 16 when it opened for the public – excluding Mondays when there is no show.
Though satisfied with the city’s response to the show, Raza says it is good but not ideal. Observers, however, say the show has been a big success. The organisers have kept the ticket prices (Rs550 for adults and Rs350 for children) well below international standards for a dolphin show of this calibre, the observers say, their revenues, therefore, may not be a true reflection of the traffic they attracted.
Raza didn’t share the breakdown of costs or profit margins. But security costs involved cannot be ignored in organising such a programme. The Dolphin Show, too, has multiple layers of security checks both manual and technological and an army of guards to manage a large crowd.
Though a good example, the Dolphin Show is not the only entertainment business that has tasted success amid all the violence and bad news coming out of the city.
The cinema business – the most popular form of entertainment – has already made it big in recent times. Waar, the highest grossing Pakistani movie, made more than Rs230 million in just three months last year and the Indian movie Dhoom 3 is said to be doing even better.
Though there is a lot of demand for entertainment and recreation in the city, there exists a huge gap in terms of supply.
There are a lot of things that can be done on the entertainment side, Raza said. “It’s about time we move beyond the Lucky Irani Circus and introduce new concepts along international standards.”

Export Development Fund: Let it go

Export Development Surcharge is levied on all exports at 0.25% of export proceeds and was imposed in 1999 to strengthen and develop infrastructure. PHOTO: FILE
ISLAMABAD: 
Since 2006, the Ministry of Finance has accumulated Rs19 billion on account of Export Development Fund (EDF), lying unspent in its kitty. This is contravention of Export Development Fund Act Amendment 2005, under which the Ministry of Finance is obliged to transfer the amount collected under Export Development Surcharge to the Ministry of Commerce in the following year.
Export Development Surcharge is levied on all exports at 0.25% of export proceeds and was imposed in 1999 to strengthen and develop infrastructure for promotion of exports.
To date, the business community has contributed around $600 million under this surcharge. The Ministry of Commerce has not released any public report on the use, output and results of this contribution.
The business community remains suspicious about the appropriate usage of the fund. According to a news report, the president of the Sialkot Chamber of Commerce and Industry has alleged that EDF proceeds have been used for general infrastructure development instead of boosting exports.
According to an independent report on EDF, in many cases, as high as 80-90% of the project budget goes to salaries and administrative costs. Take for instance establishment of a gems and jewellery (diamond cut and polish) training institute, a project proposed in the 62nd meeting of the board of administrators of EDF Fund held in 2013.
Total budget of the project is Rs27.292 million, of which Rs21.792 million (ie 79.8% of the total cost) is for administration.
Under EDF, businesses largely propose projects such as exhibitions, marketing campaigns, establishment of trade offices and alike. These projects are important in providing a capable workforce or facilitating export promotion activities. However, the impact of such projects is difficult to quantify because of non-tangibility of output.
Typically, projects are approved by the board of administrators, which is chaired by the minister of commerce. The business community is represented on the board through presidents of business associations but the control of the fund lies with the ministry.
The report on EDF mentions scores of incidents of misallocation of funds, particularly on account of subsidy and freight reimbursement to ghost exporters. According to a news story, the FIA has registered 50 cases involving Rs5 billion paid to phony companies during the previous government’s tenure.
The current structure of the fund creates a lot of room for political and bureaucratic discretion. A recent example is allocation of funds for the Saarc Chamber of Commerce and Industry, which is not a direct contributor to the fund, which raises questions over the legitimacy of this decision.
Despite the initiatives and allocation of funds through EDF, Pakistan is losing its market share year after year, which is increasing the share of its competitors including India and Bangladesh. Thus, EDF has largely failed to serve the purpose for which it was enacted.
New setup
Given the systematic incentives built in the structure for misallocation and misappropriation, the government should ponder over an amendment in the Act to abolish the board of administrators and replace it with a new non-profit company under Section 42 with the exclusive mandate of export development. Its board of directors should comprise representatives from the private sector, government and academia whereas the managing director should be drawn from the private sector on the basis of his professional expertise.
After the new setup, proposals for use of the fund on a competitive basis should be sought from the private sector including business associations. These proposals should be carefully evaluated for their contribution to boosting the country’s exports.
The most important lesson is that the government does not, and cannot have, adequate knowledge to make reliable decisions on priorities of different sectors. Therefore, such decisions on allocation of capital should best be left to the market forces.